The day of Guess-the-Race-Winner Challenge
Last updated 2026-09-06
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Sequence recap, cutscene transcriptions
The day of Guess-the-Race-Winner Challenge is a Trailblaze Continuance in the chapter How to Lose Your Way to the Top: The Zero-Dollar Strategy.
Steps
- Go to the racing broadcast studio
- Face Ratite's challenge head-on
- Make your pick for the Guess-the-Race-Winner Challenge
- Continue the race and wait for the champion to cross the line
- Face your own heart before stepping onto the stage
- Complete the performance and seal the victory
- Make everyone a champion
- Conclude the Guess-the-Race-Winner Challenge
Gameplay Notes
- This mission uses the Fate's Ensemble system, played from the perspective of Aventurine • Waveflair. The game provides him for use as a Story character.
Dialogue
This page is missing dialogue.
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Go to the racing broadcast studio
Mission DescriptionIn a public race, what does it take to predict the winning team? Is it the track record of past races? Is it luck against all odds? Or maybe a few clever moves nobody sees coming?
The team you purchased in advance, the comeback opportunity Robin fought so hard to secure... All the pieces for victory are in place.
The rest? Leave it to Aventurine of Stratagems to work his magic.
- The day of Guess-the-Race-Winner Challenge
- Aventurine: Let the grand twist begin.
- (Obtain Achievement 1 vs. 2 Billion)
- (Walk towards marked location)
- Ratite: Mr. Aventurine, right this way.
Face Ratite's challenge head-on
- Step DescriptionThanks to your earlier racing team purchase, this Guess-the-Race-Winner Challenge has at least a tiny bit of suspense to it.
The rest? Leave it to Aventurine of Stratagems to work his magic.
- (Arrive at marked location)
- Ratite: Mr. Aventurine, let's say hi to the audience. But wait, where's Miss Robin? She's the one who signed up for the challenge.
- Aventurine: Miss Robin has a performance today. She asked me to stand in for her in this guessing game.
- Aventurine: Quite the turnout today. Thank you all for your support.
- Ratite: Now this is interesting. You're carrying double the stakes, Mr. Aventurine. You have to win for Miss Robin, and salvage your own reputation. Even with your legendary luck, a second loss would ruin you, wouldn't it?
- Ratite: Attention to all friends just tuning into the stream: The countdown for the "Guess-the-Race-Winner Challenge" has officially begun!
- Ratite: Tap the link below to face off against the cosmic superstar, Miss Robin.
- Ratite: Entries close 15 minutes before the race starts. Grab this last chance and get on board!
- Ratite: ...So, with all that said, Mr. Aventurine, which team will you pick?
- Aventurine: I'm afraid I can't disclose that.
- Ratite: Oh? Playing coy, huh! But we all know (Trailblazer)'s team is also competing in this race.
- Ratite: We have a few more heavyweight guests tuning into the challenge today. Let's patch them through for a quick interview and hear their thoughts.
- Ratite: It's Ms. Blurry! I heard you actively requested to do this interview. So have you participated in the "Guess-the-Race-Winner Challenge"?
- Nihilux: Yes. I'm sure anyone who has read The Fluffy understands one simple truth: The real story only begins the moment you hit rock bottom.
- Ratite: So your pick is...?
- Nihilux: I'm backing the team with the 10-win streak.
- Ratite: Not (Trailblazer)? What a rational choice.
- Nihilux: And that home team.
- Nihilux: And that legacy powerhouse team.
- Ratite: How many accounts do you have?
- Nihilux: And the little raccoon team.
- Nihilux: I'm sure readers of "The Fluffy" know this to be true, too: Opportunity favors those who cast a wide net. I've been registering new accounts nonstop, even while we're talking. Each alt account represents a chance at 500 credits.
- Nihilux: May the Lotto Goddess bless me. It's about time I won some...
- Ratite: Cut the feed.
- Ratite: Hello to the Astral Express family... Hmm, is the signal okay? How come we can't see anyone?
- Ratite: Uh, care to introduce yourself?
- ???: Winged Deathknell.
- Ratite: Well, Mr. "Winged Deathknell," what a name... If I may be so bold, are you in any way related to Robin...?
- ???: ...
- Ratite: Yikes. I can't see his face, but somehow his gaze feels brutal... Are we interviewing an extreme fan or something?
- Aventurine: Don't worry. His methods are even more brutal than his gaze.
- ???: Hurt (Trailblazer), and we'll make you pay double.
- ???: Hurt Robin... I'll make you pay, multiplied by your follower count.
- Ratite: What is with all these oddballs and weird birds today? Let's connect to our final group.
- Ratite: Everyone, please welcome the renowned investment expert, one of the Ten Stonehearts, and the colleague to Mr. Aventurine... Miss Topaz! Alongside the famous mystic and Xianzhou diviner, Miss Qingque. Let's hear what these two have to say.
- Topaz: Don't worry, Aventurine. I'll bet against you. This way we're covered whatever the result.
- Aventurine: ...What, to hedge a 500-credit risk?
- Ratite: What we're seeing here is the team spirit of the Ten Stonehearts. And which team will Miss Qingque pick?
- Qingque: If you stepped out left foot first today, I suggest you go with the red one. Right foot first, go with the blue. If you hopped out on both feet, skip buying altogether and head to see the Xianzhou Alchemy Commission... Oh, and, whatever you pick, don't pick white. It's way too bare and has zero style...
- Ratite: Ah, authentic Xianzhou-style mysticism...
- Dr. Ratio: Hmph. What a ridiculous analysis.
- Dr. Ratio: A true expert would advise against opportunism.
- Ratite: Um, excuse me, we're in the middle of an interview here. You are...?
- Dr. Ratio: I'm an expert in gambling addiction. Are your hands itching again, gambler? Put those cards away.
- Qingque: Wh—Who are you? Why are you targeting me? Who are you trying to scare with that plaster head?
- Aventurine: Don't worry, he's targeting me.
- Ratite: Where did all these random people come from...!? Hold on! Our reporter on the scene says (Trailblazer) has already arrived at the arena.
- Ratite: Let's switch the feed over right now.
- Carmella: Hello to all our friends in the audience! I'm Carmella, intern reporter for Interastral Peace Entertainment.
- Carmella: Right next to me is the new proud owner of team "Prodigal GP," (Trailblazer). Say hi to the audience!
- (Trailblazer): Hi everyone.
- (Trailblazer): Just a quick note: "Prodigal GP" is a thing of the past. That was the former owner's name.
- Carmella: So what's the team called now?
Team Pick-Me.
- (Trailblazer): Team Pick-Me, as in, you know, "pick me."
- Carmella: Ah, yes. And the floor here is made of floor.
- Haven't decided yet.
- (Trailblazer): Actually we haven't decided yet. For now, let's call it... Custom Name 4? Or maybe Team Pick-Me?
- Carmella: Let's go with the latter. At least it sounds like you tried.
- Ratite: Word on the street is that your esteemed team doesn't even have a proper driver. No wonder no one dares to bet on you.
- That position is currently open...
- (Trailblazer): Funny you should mention that! Huge thanks to Mr. Ratite for offering up his stream as the perfect recruitment platform. Our driver position is now open for hire: top pay, zero experience needed, first come, first served!
- Never mind the driver...
- (Trailblazer): Never mind the driver, we literally have nothing here but cars. Is it too late to back out now?
- The boss here is just warming up...
- (Trailblazer): Worry not, my friends. Just pick us. Your boss here is just getting warmed up!
- Ratite: My, my. Quite the elaborate setup for an "ace in the hole."
- Ratite: Let me give you a piece of financial advice: Don't invest in your best friend.
- (Trailblazer): Here's a piece of advice for you, too: Don't play games with your boss's rival.
- Aventurine: Exactly.
- Ratite: Heh, let's see how long you can keep up this tough act.
- Ratite: Oh? Miss Robin, the star of our challenge, is also joining us...
- Carmella: It's already packed like sardines out here!
- Crazed Fan: Miss Robin, I like you...
- Ratite: Miss Robin is as composed as ever... I just wonder how long that composure will last.
- Carmella: Miss Robin, please say hello to everyone in the stream~
- Robin: Thank you all for your support. Wow... So many of you are participating in the predictions.
- Robin: Feel free to choose your favorite team, everyone! Please don't be pressured in any way.
- Carmella: By the way, can you elaborate on that mysterious teaser you gave at the opening ceremony?
- Robin: During the competition, I'll be debuting a brand-new, unreleased song. Please look forward to it!
- Carmella: Wow! Did you all hear that? Make sure you don't go anywhere during the race!
- Ratite: Your proxy, Mr. Aventurine, is right next to me. Mr. Aventurine, is there anything you'd like to say to Miss Robin?
- Aventurine: I'm going to run rings around this noisy, stupid bird right here.
- Robin: You have my full support.
- Aventurine: Ratite, feel free to edit that bit out if it's too much for you.
- Ratite: ...Edit what out!? We're live!
- Aventurine: Ahaha, my apologies then.
- Ratite: Miss Robin, your friend (Trailblazer)'s team is also competing today. So what do you think is the most important element in a race?
- Robin: Team radio, of course. That's the real highlight when it comes to team tactics.
- Ratite: Oh? It sounds like Miss Robin is... hinting at something.
- Carmella: That's all from here on the ground!
Make your pick for the Guess-the-Race-Winner Challenge
- Step DescriptionIn a public race, what does it take to predict the winning team? Is it the track record of past races? Is it luck against all odds? Or maybe a few clever moves nobody sees coming?
The team you purchased in advance, the comeback opportunity Robin fought so hard to secure... All the pieces for victory are in place.
The rest? Leave it to Aventurine of Stratagems to work his magic.
- Ratite: ...Welcome back to the stream.
- Ratite: The betting window for the "Guess-the-Race-Winner Challenge" will close in 5 minutes. Mr. Aventurine, have you still not decided?
- Aventurine: Mr. Ratite, why do you seem more anxious than I am?
- Aventurine: Is it because you've rigged the race to end a certain way?
- Ratite: How could I? This is a live broadcast across the entire network. If I were to get caught doing something like that, I'd be finished.
- Aventurine: Oh I see. So if you don't get caught, you're fine with cheating?
- Ratite: How is that any different from a presumption of guilt? Accusing me requires real evidence, not just empty words.
- Aventurine: Then why don't you guess which team I'm going to pick?
- Ratite: Mr. Aventurine, you wanna use this opportunity to turn the tables, that I can understand. Choosing a popular team offers a lower return, which would be meaningless to you.
- Ratite: For that reason, I think you will choose "Team Pick-Me." It's got the greatest risk, thus the highest return.
- Ratite: You know a gambler's mindset better than I do.
- Aventurine: Given how you set me up in the previous two rounds, how could you possibly give me a genuine answer?
- Aventurine: You're simply baiting me into making a certain choice.
- Aventurine: "Rich Bird Racing," "Scuderia Cosmo," or even "Team Pick-Me"... You can manipulate any team into winning the race.
- Aventurine: But it will never be the one I bet on.
- Aventurine: The moment I place my bet, I step right into your trap.
- Aventurine: But the betting time is almost up. I'd hate to keep the viewers waiting, so let's get started.
- Aventurine: Do you remember this Monopolist Card?
- Aventurine: You said it yourself, this "Purchase Card" creates a "Purchasable Item." Even if it's dirt on Louis Fleming that I wish to purchase, you'll make it happen.
- Ratite: I—Isn't this the card from the last round of challenges?
- Aventurine: It is, but the rules never stated it couldn't be used in a different challenge, no?
- Ratite: This is against convention!
- Aventurine: Convention? You don't get to decide that. Sugilite, you're listening in, right? This game is getting stale. Don't be a buzzkill and say "no" to me too. What do you say we shake things up a little?
- Ratite: ...
- Ratite: The boss approved... He said you can use it.
- Ratite: Tsk, darn it... So what do you want to buy with it?
- Aventurine: Choosing a team is like tossing a coin, except whichever side lands up, the coin's gonna land right in your trap.
- Aventurine: So I'm betting on the coin standing on its edge.
- Ratite: Standing on its edge?
- Aventurine: Entrusted with full authority by Miss Robin, the outcome I am crafting and locking my wager on... is this:
- Aventurine: Either everybody wins, or nobody does.
- System: The betting for the "Guess-the-Race-Winner Challenge" has now closed.
- Ratite: Time is up. Whatever outcome you envisioned, it can no longer be modified.
- Ratite: To everyone tuning in, let's take a look at the final breakdown of the bets:
- Ratite: Thanks to Mr. Aventurine's stroke of genius, there isn't a single matching bet on the board.
- Ratite: Which means Miss Robin is either going to crush the entire competition... or be absolutely crushed by them!
- Ratite: Now, let's take a look at the prize pool breakdown for the possible outcomes:
- Ratite: With roughly 200 million active fans placing their bets, that means...
- Ratite: If Miss Robin wins, she'll walk away with 100 billion credits straight from yours truly, Ratite! But if she loses, she'll be the one shelling out a hundred billion credits to sponsor her fans!
- Ratite: What an absolute thrill! Don't go anywhere, folks. Right after this short commercial break, we'll hand the broadcast back over to our professional commentators.
Continue the race and wait for the champion to cross the line
- Some time later, the Starflux race is underway...
- Commentator Crafty: Welcome back, viewers, to the Starflux live broadcast! I'm your commentator, Crafty.
- Commentator Brundie: And I'm your commentator, Brundie. We're midway through the race now, and the battle on the track is still tight as can be!
- Commentator Crafty: That's right! The lead cars are practically glued to each other. The gap between them is under a single second!
- Commentator Brundie: Team Pick-Me is looking for an opening to attack, but the car ahead is putting up an ironclad defense! They're giving them absolutely no room to pull out!
- Ratite: Your "Purchase Card" certainly caused a little hiccup, but that's about it.
- Aventurine: That's about it, you say?
- Commentator Brundie: Team Pick-Me attempts another pass on the outside... Ah, just not enough room!
- Aventurine: Tsk.
- Ratite: Hahahaha! Did you seriously think I wouldn't notice? Your finger snap was way too deliberate.
- Aventurine: I think you're overthinking this.
- Ratite: You're sending signals. Every time you snap, Team Pick-Me's driver gets a tactical command. That last one was a "switchback entry," wasn't it?
- Ratite: You amateurs probably didn't know this, but the team's radio is a public frequency. Every single move you make, everyone can hear it loud and clear.
- Ratite: Or is the snapping just a smokescreen, and you're actually plotting something else over the team radio?
- Aventurine: Keep guessing.
- Ratite: Look at you, still talking tough. I'll make a deal with you, Mr. Aventurine. If you drop to your knees right now in front of the entire stream, I might just consider wiping half your debt... How about it? Quite the bargain, wouldn't you say?
- Aventurine: Shut your mouth, and listen.
- Commentator Crafty: We've just received word from the organizers...
- Commentator Brundie: To all our viewers tuning into Starflux, you're in for a massive treat! Next up, we'll let Miss Robin's brand-new single carry us through the rest of this thrilling race!
- Aventurine: The show is about to begin.
Face your own heart before stepping onto the stage
- Step DescriptionAs planned, Robin takes the stage to perform, setting the tone for everyone's victory.
- Meanwhile, below the stage on Astropolis Beach...
- Robin: This "performance" once carried the heavy weight of The Family's expectations.
- Robin: But those expectations were never truly directed at me. They were aimed at the shadow hiding deep within my song, the one known as the "Family Head."
- Robin: But today, my song will no longer carry any undertones from the Harmonic Strings. All I wish to awaken is the yearning for a shared goal that already resides within everyone's hearts.
- Robin: The Harmony was never meant to be a choir led by a single voice. It is an orchestra. When my song rings out, everyone will find their own tempo and rhythm, embracing the unexpected and harmonizing with one another's intentions.
- Robin: Are you ready? With my voice, I shall set the melody of victory for this race.
- Robin: Here in this arena, everyone will give it their absolute all to push beyond their limits.
- Robin: Every twist and every counter from this moment on will come together to form our very own...
- Robin: "Improvisation!"
- (Cutscene begins)
-
- Transcription missing
- (Cutscene ends)
Complete the performance and seal the victory
- Commentator Crafty: Alright, the feed is back! We're heading into the final laps, and the situation on the track has completely changed!
- Commentator Brundie: Yes! All the cars are... they're gradually lining up! They're practically neck and neck! I have never seen anything like this!
- Commentator Crafty: Could this actually be what he meant by "either everybody wins, or nobody does"?
- Commentator Crafty: I guess if you stay in the commentary box long enough, you really do get to see it all.
- Ratite: That singing... It's Robin's voice!
- Ratite: Is this The Family's doing? Is her singing affecting the racers over the team radio?
- Aventurine: No, I don't think that's tuning. And it certainly isn't manipulation...
- Commentator Brundie: At this rate, every single car is going to cross the finish line at the exact same time! it's gonna be a multi-way tie for first!
- Aventurine: One hundred billion credits. That's a staggering figure. Even here in Astropolis, you'd be hard-pressed to find anyone else who could casually cough up that kind of cash.
- Aventurine: You didn't honestly believe Sugilite would foot the bill for a fool like you, did you?
- Ratite: A hundred billion... a hundred billion... Ahhh... how could this happen!?
- Ratite: Oh my, to think I've been completely outplayed by a masterful sleight of hand from the Aventurine of Stratagems...
- Ratite: Did you think I was going to say that!? Nope!
- Ratite: I knew you were going to try something funny, so I kept a little something up my sleeve, too...
- Commentator Brundie: Wait... things have just taken another dramatic turn!
- Commentator Crafty: The "Rich Bird Racing" car has suddenly broken away from the pack! Its engine is smoking!
- Ratite: I rigged that car well in advance. In the final stretch, that "Rich Bird Racing" car will go out of control! Even if it has to ram every last one of you off the track, or go up in flames itself, it will cross that finish line at maximum speed!
- Ratite: The moment any car crosses the line first, you lose everything. The game is mine to win!
- Ratite: Tasting defeat right when victory is within your grasp... That despair must be exceptionally bitter, wouldn't you say, Mr. Aventurine?
- Aventurine: So you finally showed your hand.
- Ratite: Wh—What?
- Aventurine: Hah. You seem to misunderstand the situation. We've been waiting for this exact moment: when you thought you had it in the bag.
- Aventurine: When you focused all your attention entirely on Miss Robin and me, you were bound to overlook something far more important...
- Aventurine: Ratite, those smug little schemes of yours were nothing more than a minor interlude in this race.
- Aventurine: The real "trump card" that decides the outcome has been on the track all along.
- Aventurine: Miss Robin's voice has already "set the tone" for this race. Next, (Trailblazer) will go all out to catch up with "Rich Bird Racing." And from this moment on...
- Aventurine: (Trailblazer)'s thirst for victory will become the brightest note in the song, echoing in the ears of every driver and writing a melody of "shared victory" for this race.
- Aventurine: If (he/
she) risks flooring it to cut off "Rich Bird Racing" right at the finish line, and lets the cars behind catch up, we can pull off the miracle where "everybody wins"! - Aventurine: Now's the time! (Trailblazer), I'm betting every last dime on you!
Make everyone a champion
- Step DescriptionYou block the car ahead according to the plan, making sure all the racers cross the finish line at the same time.
- (Cutscene begins)
-
- We're down to the last two corners of the race
- There's a car catching them!
- Is there any chance to get past?
- Speed's on their side!
- Aventurine: We're counting on you, our ace driver.
- Oh! lt's the final corner!
- Still a close fight!
- Go!
- Both cars are at their limit!
- Oh!!! Was that a mistake?
- Holy moly! It's a tie!
- The race is over!
- (Cutscene ends)
Conclude the Guess-the-Race-Winner Challenge
- Step Description"Either everybody wins, or nobody does." You did the impossible and created an unprecedented miracle, winning a challenge that couldn't be won.
As per the rules of the challenge, you'll receive your well-earned rewards from Ratite.
- And with that, the curtain falls on the Starflux opening race!
- "Either everybody wins, or nobody does."
- You pulled off an unprecedented miracle: winning a challenge that should've been impossible to win.
- Ratite: Waaah...
- Cue my execution theme.
- Wake up, Ratite. Time to pay up.
- (Trailblazer): Where's the money? Pay up now, or I'm charging you interest by the second.
- Ratite: Waaah...
- (Trailblazer): Are you crying?
- (Trailblazer): Crying time is billable time, you know.
- Ratite: Ugh, I'll pay... I'll pay! I'll pay you right now! Work-Work!
- Work-Work: I'm here.
- Ratite: Take my...
- (Trailblazer): Take your... what?
- Ratite: Take my... my money... Waah...
- Work-Work: Transfer amount?
- (Trailblazer): The number of players Miss Robin defeated in the "Guess-the-Race-Winner Challenge," multiplied by 500 credits each.
- Ratite: Waaah, boo-hoo-hoo...!
- Work-Work: Please enunciate!
- Ratite: ...Transfer it all... waaah... to Miss Robin.
- Work-Work: Understood. Payment successful √
- Robin: Thank you, Work-Work. I've received it.
- Ratite: Waaaaaaaah........!!!
- Work-Work: Is that... the Astral Express blowing its whistle?
- (Trailblazer): That's the sound of Ratite achieving liftoff.
- Aventurine: We can't let him off the hook just yet. We still have our own score to settle with him. Any ideas, (Trailblazer)?
- ...Edit videos.
- ...The footage review room.
- (Trailblazer): How's about... we lock Ratite in "the room you can't leave until you finish editing," and make him edit this entire episode of the "Guess-the-Race-Winner Challenge" himself.
- (Trailblazer): Consider it his way of leaving us all with a beautiful holiday memory.
- Aventurine: Brilliant idea. I was thinking the exact same thing. Let's do it.
Trivia
- Commentator Crafty (Chinese: 解说小飞) and Commentator Brundie (Chinese: 解说阿兵) are references to real-life motorsport commentators.
- In English, they refer to David Croft and Martin Brundle, respectively.
- In Chinese, they refer to Ye Fei (Chinese: 叶飞) (Bilibili) and Li Bing (Chinese: 李兵) (Bilibili), respectively, and they voiced their own characters.[1]
Other Languages
| Language | Official Name |
|---|---|
| English | The day of Guess-the-Race-Winner Challenge |
| Chinese (Simplified) | 猜赛车挑战•当日 |
| Chinese (Traditional) | 猜賽車挑戰•當日 |
| Japanese | レース予想チャレンジ・当日 |
| Korean | 승부 예측 챌린지•당일 |
| Spanish | Adivina el auto de carreras: hoy |
| French | Le juste grand-prix : Jour J |
| Russian | Челлендж «Угадай машину» |
| Thai | แชลเลนจ์ทายผลรถแข่ง: วันแข่งขันจริง |
| Vietnamese | Thử Thách Đoán Xe Đua - Hôm Nay |
| German | Der Tag der Rennwagen-Wett-Herausforderung |
| Indonesian | Tantangan Tebak Balap Mobil: Hari H |
| Portuguese | O Dia do Desafio Adivinhe o Vencedor |
Change History
Released in Version 4.5
References
- ↑ 飞哥的P房 (August 26, 2026). Ye Fei's self announcement. Bilibili. Retrieved August 28, 2026.
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